Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.018881 0.020693 0.022518 0.024490 0.026557 0.028655 0.030941
2025-07-20 0.015259 0.018073 0.021025 0.024333 0.027919 0.031670 0.035875
2025-07-27 0.012985 0.016345 0.019980 0.024165 0.028807 0.033761 0.039415
2025-08-03 0.011782 0.015592 0.019822 0.024790 0.030399 0.036474 0.043494
2025-08-10 0.010325 0.014394 0.019025 0.024577 0.030949 0.037945 0.046123
2025-08-17 0.009061 0.013301 0.018249 0.024294 0.031338 0.039167 0.048413
2025-08-24 0.008053 0.012430 0.017660 0.024160 0.031840 0.040467 0.050746
2025-08-31 0.007123 0.011577 0.017029 0.023922 0.032173 0.041536 0.052782
2025-09-07 0.006373 0.010896 0.016559 0.023833 0.032645 0.042736 0.054943
2025-09-14 0.005547 0.010048 0.015829 0.023384 0.032652 0.043365 0.056422
2025-09-21 0.004810 0.009261 0.015129 0.022931 0.032620 0.043921 0.057793
2025-09-28 0.004025 0.008337 0.014199 0.022144 0.032147 0.043927 0.058496
2025-10-05 0.003664 0.008039 0.014128 0.022501 0.033146 0.045772 0.061470
2025-10-12 0.003149 0.007469 0.013672 0.022358 0.033539 0.046914 0.063652
2025-10-19 0.002691 0.006935 0.013226 0.022198 0.033884 0.047981 0.065730
2025-10-26 0.002500 0.006818 0.013357 0.022794 0.035179 0.050195 0.069173
2025-11-02 0.002115 0.006323 0.012912 0.022591 0.035438 0.051134 0.071081
2025-11-09 0.001760 0.005831 0.012436 0.022321 0.035592 0.051929 0.072806
2025-11-16 0.001480 0.005435 0.012079 0.022193 0.035915 0.052921 0.074759
2025-11-23 0.001214 0.005021 0.011665 0.021966 0.036092 0.053720 0.076470
2025-11-30 0.001008 0.004693 0.011365 0.021882 0.036444 0.054730 0.078432
2025-12-07 0.000774 0.004248 0.010841 0.021454 0.036323 0.055133 0.079640
2025-12-14 0.000577 0.003830 0.010332 0.021023 0.036178 0.055492 0.080785